A mau lā aku nei, i paʻa ma ka laula lauoho negotiable securities hui "ma 2011 LED 'oihana seminar" ma ka, akamai e hele ana i ka halawai a me ka 'oihana executives, aupuni semiconductor kukui papahana noiʻi a me ka ulu a me ka 'oihana hui hope kakauolelo-nui, Mr GengBo aina Yu Bin kai. hōkū uwila luna, hope luna manakia, PhD, maloʻo e like me photoelectric, luna kālā luna, ka papa kakauolelo Mr Ye Sunyi hele i ka halawai, a me ka 2011 LED 'oihana i lawe i ke kūkākūkā. ʻO ka mea nui o ka hālāwai a me ka manaʻo i hōʻuluʻulu ʻia ma lalo nei:
1. i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana e mālama ka ʻoihana LED i ka ulu wikiwiki
I nā makahiki he 10 i hala iho nei, e hoʻomaikaʻi ʻo LED i kēlā me kēia makahiki, ʻoi aku ka nui o ke kumukūʻai o nā kukui LED ma mua o ke kumu kukui maʻamau, nā kukui a me nā kukui o ke kumukūʻai holoʻokoʻa ka haʻahaʻa ma mua o ke kukui incandescent, kukui halogen a me nā kukui CFL tube, e like me ka 2012 nā kukui mālama ikehu. Hiki ke hoʻemi ʻia ke kumukūʻai huahana LED 2015 i 1/5 o ka makahiki 2010, i ka wā i hiki ai ka nui o ka mākeke kukui maʻamau i 50%, ma 2020 e helu ʻia ma mua o 75% o ka mākeke kukui.
ʻO ka hoʻokūkū ʻoihana honua i kēia manawa ʻo ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me Iapana, ʻEulopa, South Korea, Kina a me Taiwan. I kēia manawa, ʻo nā ʻāina āpau i ka hana hoʻolālā hoʻolālā, ʻoiai ʻo Iapana ma o ke kākoʻo aupuni e hoʻolaha i nā kukui LED, manaʻo nui ʻia e hoʻololi i ka helu 2015 o 50%, ka helu hoʻololi o 100% i 2020; South Korea ma 2015 e hōʻoia i ka 30% o ka mākeke kukui maʻamau.
Ua hiki i ka 120 biliona yuan ka waiwai o ka ʻoihana LED o Kina, ʻoi aku ma mua o 4000 mau ʻoihana, i loko o nā makahiki ʻelima i hala aku nei ka awelika o ka ulu ʻana o 35%, ʻoi aku ma mua o 40% i ka makahiki 2010. Ua ʻōlelo ʻia nā helu ʻikepili pili i ka guangdong LED kumu waiwai i hiki i 83,5 biliona yuan. Manaʻo ʻia ka waiwai o ka ʻoihana i nā makahiki e hiki mai ana ka awelika o ka ulu ʻana ma mua o 35%. Aia ʻo Kina i kēia manawa i ka noiʻi ʻenehana koʻikoʻi a me ka hoʻomohala ʻana i hana i nā hoʻokō kupaianaha, ʻoi aku hoʻi i ka ʻōlelo o nā huahana packaging i kā lākou mau hiʻohiʻona ponoʻī, ua loaʻa i nā noi kahi holomua nui. ʻO ka palapala patent, kahi noi no kahi patent no ka LED ma mua o 28912, me ka encapsulation a me ka patent noi i helu ʻia ma kahi o 70%; He ʻeono a ʻekolu e hoʻolālā nei ka paepae hoʻāʻo ʻāina.
2. ka LED 'oihana hoʻopukapuka kālā i ka manaʻo i structural overheating
Ua hiki i ka 290 billion yuan, 2010, 2010, 18 billion yuan ka nui o ke kukui kukui LED, he 140% ka piʻi ʻana ma mua o 2009, 2009 yuan, e helu ana i 21% o ka mākeke noi LED, ʻoi aku ka 14% ma luna o 14% i ka makahiki 2009, me ke kukui alanui LED, ua ulu aʻe ke kukui tunnel ma mua o 100%. ʻO ka helu ʻana o Union i nā kukui alanui LED i ʻoi aku ma mua o 1.6 miliona. ʻO ke komo ʻana o ka mākeke LED ma lalo o 1% i ka makahiki 2010, ua manaʻo ʻia e hōʻea i 30% i ka makahiki 2015. Akā ʻo ka ʻōlelo ʻana, ʻo ka mākeke kukui maʻamau ka nui o ke aupuni, ʻaʻole i hoʻomaka ka mākeke maoli, akā e hoʻololi i ka kukui kuʻuna ke ʻano. o Ka Manawa.
ʻO ka nui o ka hoʻopukapuka home o 20 biliona, 2009, 2010 a i 30 biliona, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hoʻopukapuka ʻana i ka loulou ʻoihana o kahi hierarchical. ʻO ka hoʻopukapuka home i kēia manawa he nui loa. Ua hoʻokomo pū kekahi ʻāpana o nā ʻoihana ikehu lā, poly (hui xin i $2.5 biliona, 500 sets o MOCVD i lawe ʻia i kūkulu ʻia i ke kumu LED ma suzhou.
Ka helu o nā lako MOCVD 2010 hoʻolālā ʻāina hou 09 no ka 50% o ka lako honua MOCVD, ʻekolu makahiki hoʻolālā o nā ʻāpana hou 1466, ʻoi aku ma mua o ka huina o 09 mau lako MOCVD honua, e like me ka hoʻolālā, ma hope o ʻekolu mau makahiki epitaxial wafer production capacity e hiki. he 10 a 15 mau manawa ma mua o 2009. Eia ka mea nui e hoʻomaopopo i ka piʻi ʻana o ka ʻoihana, ʻaʻole i lawa ka helu o nā lako i luna, akā ʻaʻole i piʻi i ka mākeke i kēia manawa, paʻakikī kēia mau mea hana. ʻaʻohe koena. Loaʻa ka waiwai i ka overheating structural, ʻoi aku ma mua o ka hapakolu o ka ʻoihana kukui kuʻuna i komo a hoʻolālā paha e komo.
3. ʻO China LED ʻoihana nā manawa kūpono a me nā pilikia
Ma muli o Kina ma ke kumu o ke kukui kuʻuna a me ka ʻenehana waiwai nui, ʻo ka mana paha ka LED ʻoihana ma Kina. ʻO Kina ma ka pae aupuni o ka mana i ka mākeke a ʻike ʻia ka mana o ka fluctuation.
Loaʻa nā manawa kūpono a me nā pilikia o ka ʻoihana LED kūloko. ʻO nā manawa kūpono: 1, ʻo nā mākeke kuʻuna a me nā mākeke e puka mai nei he mau manawa ʻoihana nui, 2 o ka ʻoihana kukui, ʻoi aku ka koʻikoʻi o ka ʻoihana kūkulu hale, 3, a ʻo ka mālama ʻana i ka ikehu a me ka hoʻemi ʻana a me ka hoʻomohala hoʻomau e hāʻawi i kahi manawa kūpono no ka ʻoihana LED, 4, a ʻo ke kulekele hope loa e hoʻoikaika ikaika i ka ʻoihana ulu, i ka makahiki i hala ma ka ʻoihana semiconductor hōʻike hōʻike pāhana bidding hōʻike manaʻo nui; Nā pilikia: 1, ua loaʻa i nā ʻāina i kūkulu ʻia kahi kulekele hoʻolaha noi noi, 2, ua hoʻopuka nā ʻāina i kūkulu ʻia i nā kapu incandescent pani, e like me ka hoʻohana nui ʻana i nā kukui kukui a me nā kukui, pono hoʻi ʻo Kina e hoʻomau a me 3, hopohopo pū kekahi ʻoihana e hoʻoikaika i ke aupuni pae e pili ana i ka hana o ka hana kukui kuʻuna ʻoihana wikiwiki loa, akā pono e hoʻokō ʻia ka hoʻololi e like me nā lula o ka mākeke, hiki ke hoʻokele wale ʻia nā kulekele, 4, a me ka pilikua honua ikaika i ka noi o lalo pono. iā mākou e wikiwiki i ka hoʻohui ʻana, 5, a ua lilo ka patent maʻamau i ka manaʻo o ka hoʻokūkū honua, ʻeono, ʻaʻole hōʻuluʻulu ʻia nā kumu waiwai ʻoihana iā lākou iho, a ʻo Kina ka hoʻokele waiwai kūloko, e kaupalena i ka hoʻomohala ʻana o ka kūloko paʻakikī; Hiki ke kūlana i luna i nā huahana waena, i ka hemahema, 7, ʻaʻole lawa ke kākoʻo ʻoihana a me ka hoʻonohonoho ʻana. ʻO ke kākoʻo ʻenehana, ʻaʻole lawa ka ʻona hoʻomohala. He haʻahaʻa ka pae waiwai, homogeneity huahana koʻikoʻi, ka maʻamau a me nā mākeke hōʻoia e like me ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka mīkini ʻike.
4. ʻO 2011 ka mākeke kukui maʻamau LED mua
ʻO ka manaʻo ākea hou o ka mākeke, ka mākeke hou me ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā led i ʻoi aku ka waiwai waiwai a me nā pōmaikaʻi o ke kaiapuni he 10 mau makahiki 8 hola i ka lā (30000 hola) 2010-2015 wānana, hiki i ka pono photosynthetic hiki i 60 2010 lm / w, 2015 hiki i 100 lm / w, kumukūʻai ma RMB 70, 2010, ma 2015 hiki ke hāʻule ma lalo o $10 pae. Ua manaʻo ʻia i ka makahiki 2013 ʻo ia ke kumukūʻai o ka huli ʻana i lalo, ʻo ia hoʻi, ʻo kēia wahi ke alakaʻi nui ʻia ʻo ia o ka helu inflection.
ʻO nā kukui LED i ka mākeke e hiki mai ana e alakaʻi ʻia e ka ʻenehana a me ka hoʻomohala wikiwiki ʻana o ke kumukūʻai ma lalo o nā huila ʻelua. Ua manaʻo ʻia ʻo Alliance, LED maʻamau kukui ma 2011, hoʻomaka i ka makahiki 2011-2012, ʻo nā kukui LED mai ka pāʻoihana, ʻoihana, ke keʻena a me nā kukui ākea ākea a hiki i ka kukui hale.
Hoʻolālā kālā:
1. manaʻo i nā ʻoihana kūpono: ikaika ikaika i ka hoʻohui ʻana i ka ʻōnaehana, ʻoihana me ka hiki ke hoʻohui kū i ka manawa like; Ma kekahi ʻoihana kūikawā kūikawā; Loaʻa iā ia ka pōmaikaʻi o nā kahawai brand o nā ʻoihana; Loaʻa iā EMC nā hiʻohiʻona o nā hiʻohiʻona ʻoihana.
2. ma nā wahi kī: e like me ka mua o ka lehulehu kukui, kalepa kukui a me ka hale kukui ke ala o ka hoʻonohonoho hoʻonohonoho.
3. ka manawa o ka hoʻokomo 'ana: e hahai i ka incandescent roadmap, umi kulanakauhale wan malamalama a huimin papahana e like me ka lahui kulekele (hiki) i ka hapa hope o 2011, hopu i ka LED kukui e hoʻomaka i ka manawa.
5. kiʻekiʻe-mana LED puʻupuʻu makemake i ka laulā huahelu
Me ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokūkū hoʻokūkū hoʻokūkū LED ʻaʻole ia he ʻāpana hoʻokahi, akā e noʻonoʻo e noʻonoʻo i ka pono o ka luminous a me ka papa kuhikuhi kala, e like me ke ola, ke kumukūʻai, ka helu kikoʻī. ʻO ke kuhikuhi o ka ʻenehana hoʻopihapiha LED kiʻekiʻe he kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe o kēia manawa, ke kūpaʻa wela kiʻekiʻe, kiʻekiʻe ka waihoʻoluʻu index index, hoʻohui kiʻekiʻe a me ka pono luminous kiʻekiʻe.
ʻO ka puʻupuʻu nui e hiki mai ana, ʻo ka puʻupuʻu chip, ʻo ka pahu liʻiliʻi kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe multichip module ʻo ia ke ʻano.
6. E hoʻokuʻu ʻia ka MOCVD e hoʻohui i ka ʻoihana
I kēia manawa hana hale epitaxial wafer upstream MOCVD hoʻolimalima wela he kiʻekiʻe loa, 2011 hale hoʻokomo i nā lako a hiki i ka hōʻea ʻana o ka waiwai pono ma kahi o 500 mau ʻāpana, 2 a 3 hapaha o kēia makahiki, e like me ka hiki ke hoʻokuʻu ʻia, hiki ke kumu i kekahi. ka hopena i ka mākeke chip waena waena, manaʻo ʻia e hāʻule nā kumukūʻai kukui keʻokeʻo holoʻokoʻa e 20 a 30%.
ʻO ka paepae chip upstream he ʻoihana ʻenehana kiʻekiʻe loa, ʻaʻole pono ka umu, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka loaʻa ʻana o kahi pūʻulu talena, ʻaʻole nele loa nā talena home i kēia manawa. No laila, i loko o nā makahiki ʻelua e hiki mai ana ka ʻoihana e hoʻoikaika i ka hoʻohui ʻana, e like me nā makahiki he ʻumi i hala aku nei nā hui Taiwanese, ʻo ka mea hope loa he 6 a 7 mau hui, ʻaʻole hoʻoholo kekahi mau ʻoihana i ka umu a ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻomaka, kiʻekiʻe loa ke kumukūʻai depreciation umu, hiki ' hiki ke hoʻopau ʻia nā huahana o ka ʻoihana kiʻekiʻe.
7. ʻO nā kukui LED i kēia manawa e loaʻa i ke ʻano o ka mana kiʻekiʻe a me ka mana liʻiliʻi coexist
I kēia manawa LED kukui huahana ma ka lohi wikiwiki, nui ka hilinaʻi ma luna o ke aupuni papahana i ka paipai 'ana, akā, he maikai hōʻailona e puka mai ala e like me ma EMC, ma o ka hoʻokomo 'ana o ka panakō, 'inikua a me nā keʻena kālā'ē aʻe. hooulu ana. ʻO nā ʻōpuʻu incandescent haole ʻē aʻe e hoʻopau i ka helu ʻana, e ulu koke ka mākeke kūʻai pōkole.
I kēia manawa, kiʻekiʻe loa nā kumukūʻai kukui a me nā kumukūʻai, ʻaʻole i hoʻomaikaʻi maikaʻi ʻia ke kaulahao hoʻolako, a he nui nā mea e pono ai ka holomua ma ka loulou ʻenehana, pono hoʻi e hoʻomaikaʻi hou i ka pono luminous. Ma muli o ke kumukūʻai, nā huahana kukui LED hou me ka mana kiʻekiʻe a me ka mana liʻiliʻi i hoʻohui pū ʻia, akā me nā mea mana kiʻekiʻe e hoʻemi nui ʻia, ʻo nā huahana LED mana kiʻekiʻe ke ʻano hoʻomohala.
8. ʻO ka hoʻomohala ʻana i ka patent kūʻokoʻa ke ala kumu no ka hoʻomohala lōʻihi
ʻO ka pilikia patent LED kekahi o nā kumu koʻikoʻi o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ka hoʻomohala ʻana o ka ʻoihana LED o Kina, ʻo ka ʻoihana LED ma Kina e loaʻa i ka mana ma ka honua holoʻokoʻa, ʻaʻole kēia i ka wā i hala, pono e hoʻomohala i ka patent kūʻokoʻa. Akā ʻo ka pilikia patent ʻaʻole ia ke kumu nui o ka pae chip, a i ʻole ka epitaxial wafer, ke kaʻina chip o ka hiki ke hana. I kēia manawa, ʻo ke ala e hoʻoponopono ai i ka pilikia o ka patent ka mea nui a puni ka patent tough area, e uku i nā royalties no ka loaʻa ʻana o ka mana, etc.
ʻO ka pilikia patent e pili ana i nā mea chip, ka hoʻolālā ʻenehana, ka phosphor, ka hāʻawi ʻana i nā kukui lua, ka hoʻolālā ʻano, e like me nā pae he nui, ʻo ka mea nui loa ka pauka fluorescent a me nā mea substrate. ʻO ka phosphor patent i kēia manawa i nā lima kemika, lawe lākou i nā mea aluminate, ʻo ka silicate home a me nā nitrides i kēia manawa he r&d, akā pono e hoʻomaikaʻi i ka hilinaʻi a me ka paʻa. ʻO ka hiʻohiʻona o ka substrate, ko mākou ʻāina i ka hoʻolaha ikaika ʻana iā Si substrate material, hiki i ka ʻelele hui nanchang crystal ke hana i ke kapikala o 60 miliona yuan hoʻolimalima i ka noiʻi a me ka hoʻomohala ʻana, ua holomua nui i kēia manawa, i ka manawa e hiki ai i ka kūleʻa ke hoʻomohala i ka ʻenehana kaapuni i hoʻohui ʻia. ua hoʻohana ʻia i ka chip LED, e hōʻemi nui i ke kumukūʻai chip a ākea loa nā mea e hiki mai ana.
Ka manawa hoʻouna: ʻAukake-10-2016